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Ten years ago we didn't even have AlexNet; I think most people would have thought a paper like that was nuts at the time. The ten years since are what popularized backpropagation as a path to general intelligence. Who ten years ago would have seriously predicted GPT-3? The odd few that did are certainly not the people I would expect to have been dissuaded! And if there's any actual experimental evidence that backpropagation is not enough, I haven't seen it.


Backpropagation was the model for AGI in the 1980s if not earlier. Of course computing power made it impossible for anything to actually deliver AGI.




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