Facebook is way more integrated into everything than MySpace ever was. This is not just a post pictures and sell music kind of place (although it certainly is a big part), this is everything from hardcore socialresearch platform to businesses making their entire living off the platform to entertainment and so on.
The thing with Facebook is that it's not for the youngest people anymore it's for those who used to be young (+25)
And so naturally kids aged 17 doesn't want to be were their parents and older siblings are hanging out. That does not mean that FB those on FB right now will drop out if anything I think it will grow.
Some random researches with no solid background on this fit a fairly flexible curve to data and people go mad?
Just looking at simple principles falsifies this: Facebook's older public is quite solidified, there's so much built on top of it, etc. Myspace didn't have to enormous infrastructure or the general social network outlook we currently have. Even by pure inertia it'd say it would take more than 5 years for FB to loose 80% of it's users, even if a really promising competitor emerged.
The thing with Facebook is that it's not for the youngest people anymore it's for those who used to be young (+25)
And so naturally kids aged 17 doesn't want to be were their parents and older siblings are hanging out. That does not mean that FB those on FB right now will drop out if anything I think it will grow.